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What's hard about this comparison is knowing exactly what you saw. If the safety driver disengaged 1-3x, it might have felt like a robotaxi drove you all over; but the effort to get that system safe for unmanned regular service might take another decade.

If it was super mapped and following a fixed route with object avoidance; the difference between a car that can go on an HD-map track and one that can go point-to-point in a city is also maybe a decade.

We humans have limited empathy for what is really really really hard for computers. Many know that's true for an app, but somehow ignore that knowledge when it comes to autonomy.



Even if jedberg observed 0 disengagements, it's still not the millions of miles of data you'd want to prove something.




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